Renowned weather enthusiast and storm tracker Mike “Mr. Typhoon” Padua recently shared an updated analysis on the potential path of Typhoon Pepito (internationally named TS Man-Yi), warning that the Bicol Region could face a direct hit over the weekend. Padua initially placed Bicol under a low-risk category, with a 10-25% chance of impact; however, new data suggests the probability has risen to 50%. The announcement came following a video posted on his Facebook and YouTube channels, where he provided a detailed breakdown of Typhoon Pepito’s trajectory.
Padua urged residents to stay calm yet vigilant, advising them to prepare for any possible impact. He emphasized that while the track remains uncertain, it is better to prepare in advance, especially since Bicol now falls within the typhoon’s “cone of uncertainty.” He noted that with three days remaining before the typhoon’s potential landfall, there is still a possibility for its path to shift. However, he encouraged Bicolanos to remain alert and follow the latest updates from reliable sources, including PAGASA and other weather monitoring agencies.
In his analysis, Padua mentioned that if the forecasted path holds, Typhoon Pepito could pass over or near Bicol between Saturday evening and Sunday morning. He plans to provide continuous updates through his social media platforms, featuring multi-agency tracks and model ensembles to keep the public well-informed. The multi-agency approach allows for a more comprehensive forecast, integrating data from various weather models to predict potential shifts in the typhoon’s path.
Padua ended his message by urging everyone to remain hopeful and to pray that Typhoon Pepito’s path may yet shift away from Bicol, sparing the region from potentially severe weather. His call for preparedness has gained attention on social media, with residents expressing gratitude for his regular updates.
With heightened concerns surrounding Typhoon Pepito, Padua’s insights come as a valuable source of guidance for communities in the typhoon’s projected path.