The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has forecast that two to eight tropical cyclones may form within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) during the first half of 2025. According to PAGASA, the months from January to June are expected to see a relatively low level of cyclone activity, characteristic of the quieter season for the western North Pacific Ocean basin where the Philippines is situated.
PAGASA’s projections indicate at least one cyclone per month from January to April, with an increased likelihood of one to two cyclones each in May and June. While these numbers align with historical trends for the early part of the year, the agency advises vigilance as these systems could still bring significant rainfall and localized flooding.
For 2025, PAGASA has announced the official names assigned to tropical cyclones. These names include Auring, Bising, Crising, Dante, Emong, Fabian, Gorio, Huaning, Isang, Jacinto, Kiko, Lannie, Mirasol, Nando, Opong, Paolo, Quedan, Ramil, Salome, Tino, Uwan, Verbena, Wilma, Yasmin, and Zoraida. Auxiliary names have also been prepared for instances when the primary list is exhausted; these include Alamid, Bruno, Conching, Dolor, Ernie, Florante, Gerardo, Hernan, Isko, and Jerome.
Significant changes have been made to the naming convention this year, with PAGASA retiring Jolina, Maring, and Odette from the roster. These names were officially decommissioned following the extensive damage caused by the respective cyclones bearing these names in 2021. Replacing them are new entries in the list that will be used for future storms.
The state weather bureau emphasizes the importance of preparedness, especially as the Philippines regularly experiences an average of 20 cyclones annually. Communities are advised to monitor PAGASA bulletins for weather system updates and participate in disaster preparedness activities organized by local authorities.
As the country enters the quieter months for tropical activity, PAGASA’s forecasts and preparations serve as a reminder that vigilance and readiness remain crucial. The public is encouraged to stay informed and adhere to advisories to minimize risks during the cyclone season.