The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued a comprehensive weather forecast for Monday, February 10, 2025, highlighting the influence of the Shear Line and the Northeast Monsoon on various regions of the country.
Weather Systems Overview
- Shear Line: This meteorological phenomenon is currently affecting Southern Luzon and the Visayas. The Shear Line, which forms when cold and warm air masses converge, often leads to cloud formation and precipitation.
- Northeast Monsoon (Amihan): The Northeast Monsoon continues to impact the rest of Luzon, bringing cooler temperatures and varying precipitation levels.
Detailed Regional Forecasts
- Visayas, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Quezon, and Aurora:
- Conditions: Anticipate cloudy skies accompanied by scattered rains and isolated thunderstorms.
- Cause: Influence of the Shear Line.
- Potential Impacts: Residents should remain vigilant for possible flash floods or landslides, especially in areas prone to these hazards, due to moderate to heavy, and occasionally intense, rainfall.
- Caraga:
- Conditions: Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected.
- Cause: Prevailing Easterlies.
- Potential Impacts: The region may experience flash floods or landslides resulting from moderate to occasionally heavy rains.
- Metro Manila, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Central Luzon and CALABARZON:
- Conditions: Cloudy skies accompanied by rain.
- Cause: Effects of the Northeast Monsoon.
- Potential Impacts: Flash floods or landslides may occur due to moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall.
- The rest of Luzon:
- Conditions: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.
- Cause: Northeast Monsoon influence.
- Potential Impacts: No significant impacts are anticipated.
- The rest of Mindanao:
- Conditions: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.
- Cause: Easterlies.
- Potential Impacts: During severe thunderstorms, flash floods or landslides may occur.
Marine Conditions and Wind Forecast
- Northern Luzon, Central Luzon, and the eastern sections of Southern Luzon and Visayas:
- Wind Speed: Strong to Gale-force winds from the Northeast.
- Coastal Waters: Rough to very rough seas with wave heights ranging from 3.1 to 4.5 meters.
- The rest of Luzon and Visayas:
- Wind Speed: Moderate to strong winds from the Northeast.
- Coastal Waters: Moderate to rough seas with wave heights between 2.1 to 4.0 meters.
- Mindanao:
- Wind Speed: Light to moderate winds blowing from the East to Northeast.
- Coastal Waters: Slight to moderate sea conditions with wave heights from 0.6 to 2.5 meters.
Heavy Rainfall Outlook Due to Shear Line
- Today:
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) expected in:
- Quezon
- Oriental Mindoro
- Palawan
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Northern Samar
- Samar
- Eastern Samar
- Biliran
- Leyte
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) expected in:
- Tomorrow:
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) anticipated in:
- Aurora
- Quezon
- Oriental Mindoro
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) anticipated in:
- Wednesday (February 12):
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) forecasted for:
- Cagayan
- Isabela
- Aurora
- Quezon
- Camarines Norte
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall (50-100 mm) forecasted for:
It’s important to note that rainfall amounts may be higher in mountainous and elevated areas. Additionally, regions that have recently experienced significant rainfall may face exacerbated impacts.
Advisories and Recommendations
PAGASA advises the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices to take all necessary precautions to safeguard life and property. Regional Services Divisions of PAGASA may issue Heavy Rainfall Warnings, Rainfall/Thunderstorm Advisories, and other severe weather information specific to their areas as needed.