The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has released its latest weather update for Tuesday, November 19, 2024, highlighting the impacts of the shear line and easterlies on various parts of the country.
General Synopsis
The shear line is currently affecting Extreme Northern Luzon, while the easterlies influence the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Storm Man-Yi (formerly “Pepito”) remains outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). As of 3:00 AM, it was located 570 kilometers west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte, with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h, gusts reaching 125 km/h, and a westward movement at 15 km/h.
Forecast Weather Conditions
- Batanes:
- Weather: Cloudy skies with rains
- Cause: Northeasterly Surface Windflow
- Impacts: Possible flash floods or landslides due to moderate to heavy rainfall
- Babuyan Islands:
- Weather: Cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms
- Cause: Shear Line
- Impacts: Potential flash floods or landslides from moderate to heavy rains
- Caraga and Northern Mindanao:
- Weather: Cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms
- Cause: Easterlies
- Impacts: Flash floods or landslides are possible during intense rainfall
- Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas, and Davao Region:
- Weather: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms
- Cause: Easterlies
- Impacts: Possible flash floods or landslides during severe thunderstorms
- Metro Manila and the rest of the country:
- Weather: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms
- Cause: Localized Thunderstorms
- Impacts: Flash floods or landslides may occur during severe thunderstorms
Wind and Coastal Water Conditions
- Extreme Northern Luzon:
- Wind Speed: Strong to Gale
- Direction: Northeast
- Coastal Waters: Rough to Very Rough (2.8 to 4.5 meters)
- Central Luzon and the rest of Northern Luzon:
- Wind Speed: Moderate to Strong
- Direction: Northeast
- Coastal Waters: Moderate to Rough (1.5 to 3.1 meters)
- Visayas, Palawan (including Kalayaan Islands), and Occidental Mindoro:
- Wind Speed: Light to Moderate
- Direction: Northeast to East
- Coastal Waters: Slight to Moderate
Local Weather Outlook
Cloudy skies with rains will persist in Batanes due to the Northeasterly Surface Windflow, while the Babuyan Islands will experience scattered rain showers and thunderstorms due to the shear line. Mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and other provinces in Northern Luzon will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers from localized thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and Aurora Province, leading to moderate to rough seas. Residents in coastal and low-lying areas are advised to exercise caution.
Public Advisory
PAGASA urges the public to remain vigilant, particularly in areas susceptible to flash floods and landslides. Mariners are advised against sea travel in rough coastal waters, especially around Extreme Northern Luzon. Stay tuned for updates through PAGASA’s official platforms.
This forecast reflects evolving conditions as of November 19, 2024, and may change depending on weather system developments.